Trevor Bauer will inform you he’ll win the 2019 Cy Younger Award. In truth, he has already mentioned it. In a profile in Sports activities Illustrated a few months in the past — you must learn the entire piece — he advised author Ben Reiter:
“There’s optimization to be achieved, however I will have one of many prime 10 changeups in baseball, a top-10 slider in baseball, a top-10 curveball in baseball. I will throw above league common velocity. I will submit a mid-two ERA. I will win the Cy Younger in 2019. What else do I’ve to work on?”
From another pitcher, such bravado would sound misplaced. From the outspoken Bauer, a man who obtained into scorching water within the offseason for trolling a feminine school pupil with a barrage of Twitter posts, it isn’t stunning in any respect. He says what he thinks, which hasn’t made him essentially the most lovable teammate within the Cleveland Indians’ clubhouse, however he additionally is likely to be proper about that Cy Younger Award.
In his second begin of the season, Bauer pitched seven no-hit innings towards the Toronto Blue Jays in Cleveland’s Four-1 victory, with the bullpen dropping the bid for a mixed no-hitter within the ninth inning. Len Barker’s excellent sport in 1981 stays the final no-hitter in Indians historical past — the second-longest lively drought within the majors, behind solely the San Diego Padres, who’ve by no means pitched a no-hitter.
The Indians are batting .160 as a workforce and are uber-reliant on beginning pitching. In case you assume Trevor Bauer, on an evening he walked 6 dudes and within the 2nd freaking begin of the season, ought to have been pushed a lot additional previous 117 pitches within the identify of a no-hitter, please… no.
— Anthony Castrovince (@castrovince) April 5, 2019
You would possibly keep in mind that Bauer gave up one hit in seven innings in his season debut towards the Twins, so if my math is appropriate that is one hit (and one run) in 14 innings. That is backing up your speak. Bauer is just the second pitcher to go a minimum of seven innings and quit one hit or fewer in his first two begins, becoming a member of Lon Warneke, who did it in 1934 for the Cubs with two complete-game one-hitters.
(Fast apart: Warneke gained 192 video games in an impressive profession and later returned to the majors as an umpire. He stop that after a decade, went into enterprise after which turned a county decide in Arkansas.)
Again to Bauer. He did stroll six batters in Thursday’s sport, which ran up his pitch depend to 117 and led to the exit after seven innings, so it was extra a kind of successfully wild no-hit bids than a purely dominating effort the place the hitters haven’t any likelihood.
Higher management has been one key to Bauer’s enchancment since he led the American League in walks in 2015, so the six walks was most likely only a blip. Based mostly on final season’s 2.21 ERA — he had an opportunity on the Cy Younger till a Jose Abreu line drive in August fractured his leg — and his scorching begin this 12 months, Bauer’s Cy declare is hardly outrageous.
Indians pitcher Trevor Bauer understands why he was taken out after the seventh with a no-hitter intact due to his excessive pitch depend.
I used to be extra curious concerning the declare of the effectiveness of his numerous pitches. Taking a look at all pitchers who’ve thrown a minimum of 100 innings since 2018, let’s examine the place Bauer charges primarily based on weighted on-base common in plate appearances ending with that pitch:
Changeup: .126 wOBA allowed (finest within the majors)
Slider: .131 wOBA allowed (second finest behind Tyler Glasnow)
Curveball: .228 wOBA allowed (25th finest within the majors)
Once more, his declare wasn’t that outrageous. His changeup and slider have been dominant pitches and the curveball was excellent as properly. To be much more honest, of the pitchers forward of him in curveball wOBA, solely Aaron Nola and Charlie Morton threw extra curves than Bauer’s 789. (Based mostly on run worth on the pitch, FanGraphs ranked Bauer’s curveball 16th finest.)
So there isn’t any doubting Bauer’s offspeed stuff. His fastball, nevertheless, stays a pitch he nibbles with at instances. Batters hit .261/.383/.383 towards it final season with the next stroll price (14.Eight p.c) than strikeout price (11.Eight p.c). When he is compelled to throw it when behind within the depend, he does not at all times go proper after hitters. That was the case towards the Blue Jays on Thursday: 5 of the six walks got here on fastballs (the sixth got here on a pitch labeled a cutter).
We have seen sufficient to know — not a lot, actually. However that did not cease us from asking our consultants to exit on a limb primarily based on what they’ve noticed to this point. Roundtable
This might be a aware determination, as he is likely to be keen to surrender the free go and keep away from difficult a hitter and giving up a house run or extra-base hit. It is a technique that paid off final season because the extra-base hit price towards him dropped from 9.2 p.c to five.7 p.c at the same time as his stroll price remained the identical.
Backside line: Like him or not, Bauer has clearly moved into the higher echelon of beginning pitchers. He talks an enormous sport, however he backs it up.
The Reds cannot hit: The Pittsburgh Pirates blanked the Cincinnati Reds 2-Zero behind Jordan Lyles and three relievers, dropping the Reds to 1-5. The Reds are supposedly constructed round their offense, however the offense is stinking it up prefer it’s 1835 when herds of pigs traveled the streets of Cincinnati and provides town its “Porkopolis” nickname.
The Reds are hitting .169/.249/.270 and have been shut out 3 times in six video games. Jesse Winker lastly obtained his first hit, Joey Votto is off to a sluggish begin, Yasiel Puig is hitting .150, Matt Kemp is 1-for-13 with six strikeouts and no walks and Scott Schebler is 1-for-20 with eight strikeouts. The Reds play 23 of their subsequent 35 video games on the highway. They should get the bats fastened now or they might be buried by the center of Might within the powerful NL Central.
Fried Cubs: Max Fried took an ideal sport into the sixth inning for the Atlanta Braves of their 9-Four win over the Chicago Cubs, giving up just one hit over six scoreless innings.
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) April 5, 2019
The Atlanta assault was led by Nick Markakis, who turned the second Braves participant to go 5-for-5 with 5 RBIs, together with three extra-base hits, in a sport because the franchise moved to Atlanta in 1966, becoming a member of Andruw Jones, who did it on July 18, 2006 towards the St. Louis Cardinals.
In the meantime, Cubs starter Yu Darvish was unhealthy as soon as once more with 4 walks and two strikeouts in 4 innings. That is 5 straight losses for the Cubs — 5 straight terrible video games, completely embarrassing baseball.
Saturday: Darvish walks seven in 2⅔ innings as Cubs pitchers stroll 12 general in an Eight-6 loss.
After one more ugly loss, one can not help however surprise if Chicago is simply getting these out of its system or if there’s one thing extra at play.
With a load of younger expertise, a Cy Younger-winning stud and revolutionary administration, Tampa Bay is the underdog workforce everybody ought to control.
On the heels of a outstanding Cy Younger season, the Mets’ Jacob deGrom has been even higher to this point in 2019, which did not appear attainable.
Sunday: Cubs pitchers stroll six, serve up three residence runs, lose 11-10 on walk-off wild pitch.
Monday: Cubs problem 9 walks and 12 hits, make six errors and lose Eight-Zero, the primary workforce to get shut out and make six errors in a sport since 1985.
Wednesday: Cubs stroll eight batters and blow late lead in 6-Four loss.
Thursday: Six extra walks and 13 hits allowed.
That is 41 walks issued in 5 video games. A brutal begin for the employees and new pitching coach Tommy Hottovy. Humorous factor is, the Cubs are hitting .307 and are nonetheless 1-5.
Belated Freddy Peralta be aware: Forgot to say this in Wednesday’s roundup, however wished to level out that Peralta pitched the most effective video games in Milwaukee Brewers historical past, giving up two hits and no runs with 11 strikeouts over eight innings towards the Reds. Final 12 months, I wrote concerning the best-pitched sport in franchise historical past for every workforce. The Brewers have the weakest slate of finest video games of any franchise aside from the Colorado Rockies. Based mostly on sport rating, Peralta’s 89 is tied for ninth finest in Brewers historical past for a nine-inning sport. If Peralta had pitched the ninth inning and gone 1-2-Three with no strikeouts, he would have obtained an extra 5 factors and tied Ben Sheets for the perfect nine-inning sport rating in Brewers historical past.